What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?

November 9, 2022

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?

 
 
Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what’s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you’re thinking about buying a home. Here’s a look at the latest expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices so you can make your best move possible.
 

Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Respond to Inflation

 
There’s no doubt mortgage rates have skyrocketed this year as the market responded to high inflation. The increases we’ve seen were fast and dramatic, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate even surpassed 7% at the end of last month. In fact, it’s the first time they’ve risen this high in over 20 years (see graph below):
 
 
In their latest quarterly report, Freddie Mac explains just how fast the climb in rates has been:
 

“Just one year ago, rates were under 3%. This means that while mortgage rates are not as high as they were in the 80’s, they have more than doubled in the past year. Mortgage rates have never doubled in a year before.

Because we’re in unprecedented territory, it’s hard to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. Projecting the future of mortgage rates is far from an exact science, but experts do agree that, moving forward, mortgage rates will continue to respond to inflation. If inflation stays high, mortgage rates likely will too.
 

Home Price Changes Will Vary by Market

 
As buyer demand has eased this year in response to those higher mortgage rates, home prices have moderated in many markets too. In terms of the forecast for next year, expert projections are mixed. The general consensus is home price appreciation will vary by local market, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:
 

“House price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track, but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.

Basically, some areas may still see slight price growth while others may see slight price declines. It all depends on other factors at play in that local market, like the balance between supply and demand. This may be why experts are divided on their latest national forecasts (see graph below):
 
 

Bottom Line

 
If you want to know what’s happening with home prices or mortgage rates, let’s connect so you have the latest on what experts are saying and what that means for our area.

Recent Blog Posts

Why a Vacation Home Is the Ultimate Summer Upgrade

June 20, 2024

What You Need To Know About Today’s Down Payment Programs

June 19, 2024

Worried About Mortgage Rates? Control the Controllables

June 18, 2024

Do Elections Impact the Housing Market?

June 17, 2024

Real Estate Is Still the Best Long-Term Investment [INFOGRAPHIC]

June 14, 2024

Homebuilders Aren’t Overbuilding, They’re Catching Up

June 13, 2024

Home Prices Aren’t Declining, But Headlines Might Make You Think They Are

June 12, 2024

Savings Strategies Every First-Time Homebuyer Needs To Know

June 11, 2024

If you’re considering selling your house on your own as a “For Sale by Owner” (FSBO), you want to think about if it’s really worth the extra stress. Getting the Price Right Setting the right price for your house is important. And, if you’re selling your house on your own, two common issues can happen. You might ask for too much money (overpricing). Or you might not ask for enough (underpricing). Either can make it hard to sell your house. To avoid these problems, team up with a real estate agent. Agents know how to figure out the perfect price because they have a deep understanding of the local housing market. Understanding and Performing Paperwork Selling a house involves a bunch of paperwork and legal documentation that has to be just right. There are a lot of rules and regulations to follow, and that makes it a bit tricky for homeowners to manage everything on their own. Without a pro by your side, you could end up facing liability risks and legal complications. Real estate agents are experts in all the contracts and paperwork needed for selling a house. They know the rules and can guide you through it all, reducing the chance of mistakes that might lead to legal problems or delays. So, instead of dealing with the growing pile of documents on your own, team up with an agent who can be your advisor, helping you avoid any legal bumps in the road. Selling a house on your own can cost you a lot of time and stress. DM me so you have help with all the finer details, including setting the right price, handling all the paperwork, and so much more. That way we can take that stress off of your plate. #spinellagroup #yourtrustedrealestateguy #yourtrustedrealestateteam #spokerealestate #siliconvalley #siliconvalleyhomes #thebayarea #thebayareahomes #sellyourhouse #realestateagent #keepingcurrentmatters

June 10, 2024

Let's Talk

You’ve got questions and we can’t wait to answer them.